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- last updated 1 October 2018
On the accuracy of those vaunted computer models ...
Don't miss the UN's IPCC's own comments about the accuracy of long-term models
A thousand years ago, things were much warmer.
The Vikings farmed Greenland for 300 years.   Greenland cannot be farmed now; it is too cold.   The glaciers in Alaska were either greatly reduced compared to today, or perhaps absent entirely.
By five hundred years ago, things had gotten much colder.   The Vikings had left Greenland, European rivers would freeze, and Alaskan eskimo tribes living in valleys had to flee glaciers that were moving faster than people could walk.   Glaciers are not a permanent part of the landscape.
Things are warmer now.   Alaskan glaciers are receding, to the alarm of some who are ignorant of natural history.   And yet Antarctica's snow cover and ice sheet have reached their highest levels ever recorded.   That should tell you that the natural wobbles in the Earth's rotation and solar orbit have reduced the solar heating of the southern hemisphere, while increasing the solar heating of the northern hemisphere.
Anything between (and to some extent beyond) those two temperature "extremes", as we observe presently, is statistical, natural variation.   Temperatures are never static, on any scale of time - 1 year, 10 years, 100 years, 1,000 years, or more.   The world's temperatures, CO2 levels, etc., fluctuate due to various long-term and short-term natural cycles.   Their causes are not just solar (the Sun being a
), but probably cosmological to some extent as well (though luckily for us, at a minimal level over the last 10,000 years).   The different factors, known and unknown, compound and counter-act each other on a regular basis, far beyond the impact of humanity's activities, and in a complexity that confounds our understanding at present.   In mathematical parlance, the environmental impact of humanity's activities gets lost in the much greater variability of natural activity.
To prove a theory as valid requires incontrovertible, inductive and deductive proof.
To prove a theory invalid takes only a single discrepancy.
When people whosee goal is to have political control over your life are repeatedly caught in lies about the climate data, that data is worthless.
When there are those who plot to steal away the First-Amendment free-speech rights of dissenters, and attempt to use climate change as a means of destroying all your rights, their goals should be crystal clear.   They are not interested in removing a danger, but in gaining control over people for their own tyrannical ends.
- from the
2016 Democratic Party platform
, carte blanche to undermine and attack your freedom of speech:
"... calling on the Department of Justice to investigate alleged corporate fraud on the part of fossil fuel companies who have reportedly misled shareholders and the public on the scientific reality of climate change was also adopted by unanimous consent.
That statement, given the opportunity to be implemented if the Democrats took power, would translate into endless lawsuits against oil and coal companies, draining their resources and reducing their profits - solely because they voice their dissent in opposition to those in power - in opposition to would-be dictators with no respect for freedom; people who view climate change as nothing more than a means of subverting our freedom, and as a gateway to their tyrannical grasp of power.
Implemented into law, it would make this web page illegal.   And as simply as that, your First Amendment rights to free speech would be dead.
If the data was valid, its proponents would not have to lie and cheat and threaten.
Changes in the climate are a natural part of our environment; see the graphs below.   The whole issue of human-induced climate-change is junk science
Human-induced climate change is a hoax.
If you fall for the Climate Change Hoax, you give wannabe dictators the means and permission to order you to do what they want you to do.
Climate change is a political issue, with political ramifications - freedom vs. control - and not a scientific issue.
World Ocean Temperatures
- Track them yourself, and learn the facts.
Also see the
webpage for more information.
CO2 Levels Through Half a Billion Years
More CO2 is better
Plants require at least 200 ppm (parts per million) of CO2 in the atmosphere to survive.   The current 275 ppm is just above starvation-level for plants.   The periods with the most plant growth had much higher levels of CO2, as shown above.   These levels are far below what would be harmful to animals and humans.   CO2 makes up only 0.0275% of the atmosphere, vs. 20% for Oxygen.   CO2 is considered a trace gas.   More CO2 is better, not worse.
In the Past 10,000 Years
- the present temperatures are running well below
Temperatures During the Past 4500 Years
Fluctuations in temperatures of this magnitude and duration can only be due to solar fluctuations (again, the Sun is a
).   But why does volcanic activity increase during those periods? The Earth does not change significantly - except for the amount of heat
it receives from the Sun.   Heating makes any material expand
, and cooling makes any material contract
.   That contraction while cooling would (1) increase the pressure on the Earth's molten interior, and (2) create cracks
on the Earth's surface.   The pressure would tend to force the molten fluid up through those cracks, and through the porous outer crust, causing the volcanos of note.
Harris and Mann
The North Pole In 1962 - Being Clear Of Ice Is Nothing New
Temperatures are never static, on any scale of time - 1 year, 10 years, 100 years, 1,000 years, or more.
Click here for a full timeline of the Earth and the Universe
More questions about the weather? Send them to: firstname.lastname@example.org
Here is a very perceptive quote:
's Marc Morano compared the push to quickly ratify UN agreement to the sudden release of U.S. hostages by Iran in 1981 shortly after Republican Ronald Reagan was elected president. "The international climate community is terrified of the prospect of a Trump presidency, and with good reason," said Mr. Morano. "Trump has pledged to do a full 'Clexit' and pull out of the U.N. Paris Agreement, overturn the EPA executive orders on climate and defund" the U.N. expert panel that has strongly pressed the case for man-made global warming.
"But the reality is, this treaty is about forcing the U.S. and Europe to redistribute wealth, and it's about enriching the U.N.," he said. "You may as well believe in witchcraft if you actually believe that the U.N. can control the Earth's temperature and manage storminess."
About those computer "models"
Below is a graph of six
computer models forecasting the path of Hurricane Matthew, on 7 October, 2016.
Clearly, there is a total lack of consensus on a simple multi-day forecast.
In the end, none of them got it right - not even reasonably close
- the storm went up the coast, through New Jersey and on up to Maine, Newfoundland, and on across the north Atlantic in the usual manner.
Extrapolating planetary weather over decades is more difficult by many orders of magnitude, which makes any such forecast no more accurate than the roll of the dice.
The UN's IPCC
, in its Third Assessment Report
, published in 2001, agreed that their models lack any reliability, as shown in these quotes, all taken from page 78:
"Many factors continue to limit the ability to detect, attribute, and understand current climate change and to project what future climate changes may be."
"Data from the present and recent past, climate-relevant data for the last few centuries, and for the last several millennia are all needed.   There is a particular shortage of data in polar regions and data for the quantitative assessment of extremes on the global scale."
"The long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible."
In fact, the climate modelers do not even attempt to model natural climate change, such as the examples shown on this webpage.
From the book, Global Warming Skepticism for Busy People
, by Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer
:   their "models cannot reproduce natural climate change" and are "based on the assumption that the climate system doesn't change naturally on the time scale of hundreds of years."
Yet it is clearly evident that natural climate change does occur on a constant and ongoing basis.   Temperatures are never static, on any scale of time - 1 year, 10 years, 100 years, 1,000 years, or more.
Dr. Spencer notes, "climate modelers don't understand the cause of natural climate cycles."   This results in circular logic:   "models that cannot simulate natural climate change, but are programmed to be dominated by human-induced climate change, are used as 'proof' that only humans can cause climate change."   In other words, modelers "point to their models as evidence of what they assumed to begin with."
The Latest News on Climate Change
1 October 2018
Humans delayed onset of Sahara Desert by 500 years
Humans had a positive impact, not detrimental like naysayers claim
23 September 2018
97% of all climate scientists agree?   Untrue!   How about, just 1%?
14 September 2018
From Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer
13 September 2018
From Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer
7 August 2018
Alarmist now-or-never environmentalists fall flat on their faces
5 June 2018
Climate Change is Dead
to see a PDF version.
19 March 2018
Approaching solar minimum could cause global cooling
25 February 2018
NOAA caught lying about Arctic sea-ice levels again
We are living during an unusually cool period compared to the average for the last 10,000 years.
7 February 2018
Most snow ever for Erie, Pa., and it's only February, with more forecast
22 January 2018
Cleaning up air pollution may strengthen global warming
26 December 2017
Obama EPA used Junk Science to justify regulations
"For the EPA, coming up with cherry-picked data is standard operating procedure."
The Sierra Club prefers the lies
16 December 2017
Global "warming"?   Forget it!   The Sun> is cooling!   And Earth is cooling with it.
Solar cooling allows more Galactic radiation to get into the Solar System, and to Earth
Currently, Solar output is down 0.1% across the energy spectrum.
The Sun is a
- a much
bigger factor on changes to our climate than any man-made activity.
25 November 2017
After 30 years, global-warming alarmists still predicting imminent apocalypse
Wrong again, wrong then, wrong forever.
2 November 2017
Someone had this perceptive commentary on geological issues -
No evidence the sealevel is rising. However, it's a matter of perception. I forget which geology class it was mentioned in when I was getting my geology degree, but the west coast rocks are rising, meaning that the sealevel appears to be falling, and the east coast rocks are subsiding, meaning that sealevel appears to be rising there.
There is also the perception that some subsiding islands mean sealevel rise and those islands that are rising suggest sealevels lowering.There IS a major problem with many islands that have starved out their coral reefs from overfishing. Some have even all but destroyed the live corals at the top from dynamite fishing. And some heavily populated islands have polluted their island reefs to death. The upshot is that coral atolls are built by subducting ocean floors, while the corals keep growing toward sunlight and thus keep the atoll above sealevel. Well, these goobers have damaged or killed off their corals. Time to swim.
But it's so much easier to blame someone else, and so religions like global warming make it easy for them. If it's magically someone else's fault, then they don't have to fix their own problems like bleaching of the corals from aspergillus from soil erosion.
13 September 2017
Calls to punish skeptics rise ...
- ban this website???
We will say it again
- Human-induced climate change is a hoax!
17 August 2017
100% of U.S. "warming" is data tampering
7 August 2017
Global warming? Not in the U.S. this month!
- it's going to be cooler than normal for August
15 May 2017
24 April 2017
Gobekli Tepe carving documents impact of comet fragments that made Earth colder, about 10,950 BC
The event described by the carving at Gobekli Tepe (in southern Turkey) seems to describe the Younger-Dryas comet and the resulting extinctions described
and elsewhere (search for "Younger Dryas impact", "Clovis comet", and the North American "Clovis culture demise").
The Gobekli Tepe setlement was built at the very beginning of the human race's transition from nomadic hunter-gatherer tribes to permanent settlement, supported by the discovery and use of the methods of agriculture.   This article suggests that the catastrophic damage caused by the comet may have triggered the transition, due to a greater dependence on agriculture as a necessry means to survival.
If true, human civilization can be pinpointed as having begun at Gobekli Tepe, about 10,950 BC.
12 March 2017
EPA Chief Pruitt - "Carbon dioxide is not a primary contributor to global warming."
13 February 2017
Forty-six percent of meteorologists disagree with human-induced climate-change theories
12 February 2017
David Rose: How can we trust global warming scientists if they keep twisting the truth?
6 February 2017
Weather data fraud at NOAA just before Paris meeting
NOAA's Thomas Karl - one of the Climate Fraud guys.
10 January 2017
Temperatures plummet in the Nothern Hemisphere
9 January 2017
Polar Bear population thriving; no impact as alarmists claim
28 December 2016
100% Of US Warming Is Due To NOAA Data Tampering
3 December 2016
Climate scientist did not toe the party line - and politics out-ranked the data
24 November 2016
Antarctic (South Pole) sea ice has not shrunk in 100 years; land ice increasing according to NASA
"We know that sea ice in the Antarctic has increased slightly over the past 30 years, since satellite observations began."
In another statement, the point was made, "One problem that persists is that there is still only a relatively short series of direct measurements on which to base our understanding of the Arctic. Satellite monitoring of the Arctic only began in 1978, giving us less than forty years of reliable data
." (emphasis added)
In studying the climate, forty years is but an instant in time.   Natural variation will inevitably mask any man-made impact during such a short period.   No claim of human impact on climate or specifically, the Arctic ice pack, is therefore possible.   To do so is to state an unabashed falsehood - a deliberate, deceptive lie, which can only serve the purpose of the liar.
- - -
Media falsely spins Trump's comments on climate change
- The U.S. has had no Category 3 or larger hurricane make landfall since 2005 - the longest spell since the Civil War.
- Strong F3 or larger tornadoes have been in decline since the 1970s.
- Sea level rise rates have been steady for over a century, with recent deceleration.
- Droughts and floods are neither historically unusual nor caused by mankind, and there is no evidence we are currently having any unusual weather.
Green Guru James Lovelock reverses belief in 'global warming': Now says "I'm not sure the whole thing isn't crazy." - Condemns green movement: "It's a religion really, It's totally unscientific
19 November 2016
UK researchers: tax food to reduce climate change
- perverse, sick minds
1 November 2016
Frequency of periods with no sunspots bodes a cold winter
25 October 2016
Plan to subvert anti-climate change revealed in hacked emails
Belief, belief, belief - but no
22 October 2016
Another Maunder Minimum / Little Ice Age?
The U.N - Not for Freedom of Speech
CAUGHT ON TAPE: UN bans skeptical journalists from climate summit for holding views not 'particularly helpful'
As noted, "Climate change is a political issue, with political ramifications - freedom vs. control - and not a scientific issue.
14 October 2016
Sadly, there are always those sick souls who will find any excuse to feed their desire to see rampant death and destruction.
As one person noted about Hurricane Matthew's passage,
"Some seem disappointed there isn't tragic loss of life/apocalyptic."
That describes the nature of those perverse people who so hate their own lives (and people generally) that they would like nothing better than to see destruction on a global scale, even if it would mean their own deaths.   The "global warming" / "climate change" movements serve to provide them with an excuse to feed that self-destructive hatred.
There is no rationale beyond their hatred for life itself that has any meaning for them.   "Science" - i.e., their selective use of a limited, isolated set of facts - to them is just an excuse.
Some Related Articles
The Horror! Climate Change Is Making The Weather More Pleasant
Global Warming Extremists Try To Silence Science - Again
For some, Climate Change is only a means of gaining political control ...
The U.N.: A Factory Of Global Warming Fanatics Who Threaten America
Global Warming: One More Official Exposes Real Goal Of Climate Scare
The above article includes this notable revelation: "Ottmar Edenhofer, who co-chaired the IPCC working group on Mitigation of Climate Change from 2008 to 2015, has conceded that the climate crusade is an effort to shackle capitalism and establish a global welfare state."
Click her to see a note on the accuracy of those vaunted computer models.
8 October 2016
Experts said Arctic sea ice would melt entirely by September 2016 - they were wrong
What these charts clearly show is, as stated above, natural variation
The charts below also show that the ice levels that have been occurring are not unusual, but are rather well within natural variation.
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